By Lou Brett, University of Strathclyde
Happy New Year!
Exciting news! We are launching an Early Career of the Month series, showcasing the incredible work of young scientists in CompoundNET. ? We want to hear from you and your exciting research! Always wanted to make your research more visible? If you’re interested in joining the CompoundNET early career network, or even featuring as an EC of the month, this is your chance to ?️ fill out this form!
New Year - new opportunities: We’re very pleased to launch our first Early Career Researcher (ECR) of the Month for January 2024, Bastien François!
Having completed his PhD in Applied Statistics for Climate Science at the Université Paris-Saclay, Bastien is now working at the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) as a postdoctoral researcher. Bastien currently researches compound event probabilities and their evolution with climate change. Following a compound events summer school in Budapest, 2022, Bastien is currently working on the influence of climate modes such as El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on the occurrences of wind and precipitation extremes.
Another recent study by Bastien proposes a new methodology to assess the time of emergence of compound events probabilities and to quantify the contribution of univariate and dependence properties to the overall probability changes. The methodology is applied to a 13-member multi-model ensemble (CMIP6) to analyze wind and precipitation extremes and false springs events. The results show that the time of emergence of probabilities as well as the importance of univariate and dependence properties can differ from a compound hazard to another, and from a climate model to another. It shows the importance of considering changes in univariate and dependence properties, as well as their inter-model variability, for future risk assessments related to compound events.
If you are interested in reading this paper further, please find the link beneath:
Time of emergence of compound events: contribution of univariate and dependence properties, François and Vrac (2023), Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., URL: https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/23/21/2023/
Post edited by Pauline Rivoire. Photo credits: Pauline Rivoire (top image), Bastien François (portrait).